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Red101
224616.8
376754.1
778229.0
Blue32
524719.5
97368.3
550412.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1183405010015020010132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+59Teleop
+63Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
11Coral scored#3
41Coral points9
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
65Total teleop13
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#4
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
6Foul points0
101Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.3
52.051.7
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
red by 34.6
5247
#26
19.50.6
19.018.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Second
7782
#13
29.00.3
29.329.0
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End1.2
red by 17.0
5504
#38
12.00.6
12.612.0
Auto1.8
Teleop6.3
End3.9
Third
2246
#23
16.80.3
18.117.8
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End3.2
red by 8.5
9736
#35
8.30.6
9.08.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed