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Red76
361826.5
511033.7
439841.6
Blue15
71557.3
78556.9
550412.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions782702040601001201407615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+59Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
11Coral scored#1
40Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
54Total teleop2
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
5L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
76Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#19
41.61.4
20.922.3
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End1.6
red by 29.6
5504
#38
12.01.3
14.713.4
Auto1.8
Teleop6.3
End3.9
Second
33.70.8
25.626.5
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
red by 26.4
7155
#34
7.30.8
5.24.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End1.4
Third
26.50.8
16.917.7
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End1.9
red by 19.5
7855
#36
6.90.8
6.45.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed