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Red108
361826.5
439841.6
977125.2
Blue125
759813.7
779040.0
376754.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94106406080120140160180108125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
15Coral scored#18
54Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
78Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points18
108Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#19
41.60.2
41.441.6
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End1.6
blue by 12.5
54.10.2
51.451.6
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
Second
26.50.2
26.226.5
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End1.9
blue by 13.5
40.00.2
37.337.5
Auto6.9
Teleop26.5
End6.5
Third
9771
#18
25.20.2
25.025.2
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End1.0
red by 11.5
7598
#33
13.70.2
11.011.2
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End1.7