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Red129
759813.7
779040.0
376754.1
Blue71
967325.6
519326.7
608730.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10884406010012014016012971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+60Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
16Coral scored#8
58Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
94Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#3
8L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
129Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.6
51.652.2
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
red by 23.4
6087
#14
30.60.3
30.930.6
Auto4.8
Teleop23.3
End2.5
Second
40.00.6
37.538.1
Auto6.9
Teleop26.5
End6.5
red by 13.3
5193
#20
26.70.3
27.026.7
Auto3.0
Teleop22.6
End1.1
Third
7598
#33
13.70.6
11.211.8
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End1.7
blue by 11.9
9673
#12
25.60.3
25.925.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End8.1