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Red70
791116.3
14138.9
963817.0
Blue122
571249.1
72039.7
654843.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791145010015070122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+64
Endgame+64
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
6Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +43
11Coral scored#19
38Coral points69
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
48Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#11
3L3#4
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
12Foul points0
70Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#13
38.91.3
35.534.2
Auto7.3
Teleop25.0
End6.7
blue by 10.2
5712
#11
49.11.2
37.338.4
Auto10.2
Teleop34.7
End4.2
Second
9638
#38
17.01.5
16.415.0
Auto2.4
Teleop12.3
End2.3
blue by 26.0
6548
#22
43.01.2
49.050.1
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
Third
7911
#33
16.32.2
17.014.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
red by 6.7
7203
#37
9.71.2
10.711.8
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed