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Red87
721025.9
924816.3
8541.3
Blue128
354646.8
561031.1
335745.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801235010015020087128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+31
Endgame+39
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave9
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points28
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +16
8Coral scored#15
29Coral points53
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
59Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#8
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points2
87Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#14
41.30.5
37.537.9
Auto8.1
Teleop28.8
End4.5
blue by 5.5
46.81.1
43.344.4
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
Second
7210
#25
25.90.5
22.823.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End3.0
blue by 19.3
3357
#10
45.21.1
39.340.4
Auto7.3
Teleop32.0
End5.9
Third
9248
#27
16.30.5
13.914.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 14.8
5610
#17
31.11.1
21.722.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned