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Red101
920618.8
7437.6
954214.8
Blue158
839731.7
611428.5
276773.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions591360100150200101158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+35
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave6
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points30
12Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +11
13Coral scored#17
45Coral points62
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
75Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
101Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#9
37.61.7
33.435.1
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
blue by 35.7
73.32.2
65.167.3
Auto23.0
Teleop40.2
End10.1
Second
9206
#29
18.82.3
17.619.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.6
blue by 12.9
8397
#20
31.73.0
25.628.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
Third
9542
#32
14.81.7
12.714.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End2.2
blue by 13.7
6114
#24
28.52.2
25.127.3
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned