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Qual 662025 FIM District West Michigan Event
Red115
612830.3
354646.8
721025.9
Blue179
205460.6
920734.6
600264.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9716550150200115179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+40
Endgame+62
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +23
17Coral scored#24
61Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
97Total teleop120
Reef
5L4#9
6L3#8
5L2#9
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points2
115Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#4
46.80.8
44.4→45.2
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
blue by 17.9
6002
#6
64.71.7
61.8→63.5
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
Second
6128
#18
30.30.8
27.1→27.9
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
blue by 30.3
2054
#5
60.61.7
52.1→53.8
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
Third
7210
#25
25.90.8
23.3→24.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End3.0
blue by 8.7
9207
#21
34.61.7
29.3→30.9
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned