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Red98
920618.8
567561.0
642810.6
Blue87
924816.3
571249.1
954915.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9876501502009887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points45
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
57Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points0
98Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.4
55.856.2
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
red by 11.9
5712
#11
49.11.1
42.743.8
Auto10.2
Teleop34.7
End4.2
Second
9206
#29
18.80.5
19.920.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.6
red by 2.5
9248
#27
16.31.1
14.815.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Third
6428
#34
10.60.6
9.610.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End2.7
blue by 4.9
9549
#40
15.51.1
12.713.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned