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Red152
506651.8
7660B16.1
4847.0
Blue98
817936.7
7196B21.7
1028510.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1227905010015020025015298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+48Teleop
+60Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +30
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
99Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#4
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points6
152Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.81.8
51.253.0
Auto18.6
Teleop33.7
End-0.5
red by 15.1
8179
#15
36.70.2
33.633.8
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End3.9
Second
48
#9
47.01.8
47.849.6
Auto10.5
Teleop28.9
End7.6
red by 25.3
21.72.9
21.724.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End4.4
Third
16.14.0
16.112.1
Auto2.1
Teleop13.0
End1.1
red by 5.3
10.80.2
15.715.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned