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Red66
170172.1
608132.0
721142.4
Blue61
719638.5
150238.6
83015.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2061220501001502503006661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
44Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#15
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
66Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.18.0
80.372.3
Auto20.3
Teleop43.0
End8.8
red by 33.5
1502
#23
38.64.1
46.742.7
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End4.9
Second
7211
#22
42.48.0
54.046.0
Auto7.3
Teleop27.9
End7.2
red by 3.9
7196
#17
38.54.1
48.344.3
Auto6.7
Teleop26.6
End5.2
Third
6081
#25
32.08.0
43.035.0
Auto5.7
Teleop20.4
End5.9
red by 16.6
830
#12
15.44.1
20.816.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed