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Red133
657038.5
24740.6
721142.4
Blue139
719638.5
118825.7
54858.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138139100120160180133139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points24
31Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +1
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
82Total teleop83
Reef
8L4#7
9L3#7
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +6
4Foul points0
133Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#22
42.40.1
42.442.4
Auto7.3
Teleop27.9
End7.2
blue by 15.6
548
#14
58.00.2
58.458.6
Auto7.9
Teleop44.2
End5.8
Second
247
#8
40.60.1
40.540.6
Auto8.3
Teleop24.7
End7.5
red by 2.1
7196
#17
38.50.2
38.939.1
Auto6.7
Teleop26.6
End5.2
Third
6570
#28
38.50.1
38.438.5
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End10.3
red by 12.8
25.70.2
26.126.3
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End1.7