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Red177
566062.1
150238.6
170172.1
Blue130
657038.5
24740.6
721142.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201133050100150250300177130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+57Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points21
37Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +47
22Coral scored#13
80Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
12Processor points12
32Net points20
44Algae points32
124Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#6
11L3#6
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
177Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.10.1
71.171.2
Auto20.3
Teleop43.0
End8.8
red by 29.7
7211
#22
42.40.1
42.242.4
Auto7.3
Teleop27.9
End7.2
Second
62.10.1
61.261.3
Auto15.6
Teleop38.6
End7.9
red by 21.5
247
#8
40.60.1
40.440.5
Auto8.3
Teleop24.7
End7.5
Third
1502
#23
38.60.1
37.637.7
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End4.9
red by 0.1
6570
#28
38.50.1
38.338.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End10.3