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Red182
198675.0
580177.2
Blue69
509825.2
180223.8
245725.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1847005010015020025030018269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+97Teleop
+109Endgame
+113Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave6
10Coral scored#1
51Coral points3
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
21Coral scored#10
77Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
109Total teleop54
Reef
14L4#3
9L3#3
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +113
6Foul points2
182Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.20.5
73.674.1
Auto17.8
Teleop50.9
End8.5
red by 51.6
2457
#20
25.60.1
25.125.0
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End2.3
Second
75.00.5
71.371.9
Auto18.3
Teleop48.0
End8.7
red by 49.7
5098
#10
25.20.1
24.824.6
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Third
9.50.5
6.57.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 14.3
1802
#15
23.80.1
23.423.2
Auto2.1
Teleop20.2
End1.6