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Red77
882120.0
361012.7
254926.2
Blue32
5541-0.8
284610.6
216921.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions814701001502002507732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+37Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
55Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
77Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2549
#31
26.20.6
33.733.1
Auto5.2
Teleop18.7
End2.3
red by 4.6
2169
#33
21.61.5
31.529.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Second
8821
#20
20.00.4
27.427.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End0.2
red by 9.4
2846
#18
10.61.5
10.08.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End1.8
Third
12.70.4
8.88.3
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End1.9
red by 13.6
5541
#34
-0.81.5
4.83.2
Auto-1.2
Teleop1.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed