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Red164
282333.4
25127.7
472869.5
Blue96
851614.9
392623.2
205248.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1389605015020025016496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points21
27Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +23
15Coral scored#12
55Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
79Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
42Foul points0
164Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.50.2
65.866.0
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End8.6
red by 21.4
2052
#22
48.20.4
43.443.9
Auto10.5
Teleop31.4
End6.2
Second
33.40.2
39.940.0
Auto9.3
Teleop21.6
End2.4
red by 10.2
3926
#14
23.20.5
26.326.8
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End2.9
Third
2512
#27
7.70.2
13.713.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 7.2
8516
#29
14.90.4
19.720.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned