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Red28
25127.7
5541-0.8
851614.9
Blue102
388344.3
534841.1
453620.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2414405010020025028102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+64
Endgame+74
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +58
4Coral scored#16
15Coral points59
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
19Total teleop77
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#7
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
5Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points0
28Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8516
#29
14.91.0
20.119.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End3.6
blue by 29.4
3883
#16
44.31.6
41.840.2
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End6.8
Second
2512
#27
7.71.1
13.912.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 33.4
5348
#26
41.11.6
47.545.9
Auto6.5
Teleop29.0
End5.6
Third
5541
#34
-0.81.0
3.32.4
Auto-1.2
Teleop1.1
End-0.7
blue by 21.8
4536
#30
20.91.6
30.428.8
Auto0.9
Teleop18.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned