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Red48
216921.6
284762.0
753013.6
Blue100
284610.6
387122.6
472869.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138109020030040050048100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+50
Endgame+48
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points26
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +43
5Coral scored#11
19Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
0Processor points6
4Net points20
4Algae points26
23Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points4
48Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2847
#19
62.04.6
70.065.4
Auto15.1
Teleop38.4
End8.5
blue by 7.5
69.50.0
66.166.1
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End8.6
Second
2169
#33
21.64.6
30.125.5
Auto4.3
Teleop14.4
End2.9
blue by 1.0
3871
#11
22.60.0
17.917.9
Auto3.8
Teleop15.5
End3.3
Third
13.64.6
16.311.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End2.4
red by 3.0
2846
#18
10.60.0
11.611.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed