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Red60
298750.1
284610.6
851614.9
Blue29
216921.6
52752.9
61668.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914901001502006029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
5Coral scored#3
17Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
25Total teleop14
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
60Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.11.0
45.744.7
Auto11.1
Teleop31.7
End7.3
red by 28.5
2169
#33
21.61.3
25.524.3
Auto4.3
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Second
8516
#29
14.91.0
17.616.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End3.6
red by 6.0
6166
#23
8.91.3
16.515.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End3.1
Third
2846
#18
10.61.0
11.710.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End1.8
red by 7.6
5275
#35
2.91.3
5.84.6
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed