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Red106
621716.8
340720.5
313065.6
Blue80
212954.4
5541-0.8
52752.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1348205010015020010680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
20Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
60Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#18
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
106Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.60.6
59.859.2
Auto12.8
Teleop41.1
End11.7
red by 11.2
2129
#12
54.40.1
56.756.8
Auto16.2
Teleop36.9
End1.3
Second
20.50.6
17.216.6
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End2.7
red by 17.6
5275
#35
2.90.1
10.810.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End0.8
Third
6217
#15
16.80.6
28.828.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End3.0
red by 17.7
5541
#34
-0.80.1
3.23.3
Auto-1.2
Teleop1.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed