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Red70
238336.8
229031.1
247234.0
Blue69
321214.1
249142.9
572015.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81682040601001207069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
11Coral scored#6
39Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
57Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points14
70Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.0
29.829.7
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
blue by 6.0
2491
#10
42.90.6
28.127.4
Auto10.2
Teleop31.7
End1.0
Second
34.00.0
23.523.5
Auto4.0
Teleop27.7
End2.4
red by 18.8
5720
#53
15.20.6
16.115.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End2.7
Third
31.10.0
17.017.0
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End2.9
red by 17.0
3212
#21
14.10.6
16.515.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed