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Red77
251216.9
205242.1
604710.8
Blue26
297712.2
704819.3
171619.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7662020401001201401607726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
9Coral scored#4
34Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
48Total teleop13
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
2Foul points0
77Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.11.1
36.537.7
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End8.7
red by 22.7
1716
#30
19.43.3
14.311.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End2.1
Second
2512
#35
16.91.1
15.716.8
Auto2.1
Teleop13.6
End1.3
blue by 2.4
7048
#34
19.33.3
17.314.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End3.6
Third
6047
#27
10.81.1
12.613.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 1.3
2977
#42
12.23.3
24.020.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed