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Red93
224047.5
569028.1
305418.2
Blue65
436020.8
572015.2
253122.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9669204060801201401609365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+24Teleop
+22Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
64Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points0
93Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.50.7
42.743.4
Auto7.8
Teleop38.9
End0.9
red by 24.7
2531
#24
22.80.0
23.623.6
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Second
5690
#20
28.10.7
24.525.2
Auto5.6
Teleop21.4
End1.1
red by 7.3
4360
#16
20.80.0
19.019.0
Auto2.7
Teleop16.8
End1.3
Third
3054
#26
18.20.7
13.714.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 3.0
5720
#53
15.20.0
16.616.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed