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Red117
250123.4
52535.6
229031.1
Blue159
675831.1
400935.5
459339.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001196080140160180117159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+32
Endgame+44
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
19Coral scored#18
67Coral points65
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
81Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#10
7L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +42
8Foul points6
117Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#11
35.60.1
35.535.6
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
blue by 3.8
39.41.0
38.940.0
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Second
31.10.1
31.031.1
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End2.9
blue by 4.4
4009
#38
35.51.0
35.036.0
Auto6.5
Teleop26.1
End3.0
Third
2501
#22
23.40.1
23.223.4
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End4.9
blue by 7.8
6758
#28
31.11.0
30.631.7
Auto4.1
Teleop20.0
End7.0