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Red175
310043.0
590335.4
161958.4
Blue185
284762.8
657433.4
614743.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145142100200175185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points37
27Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +6
25Coral scored#20
90Coral points72
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
112Total teleop106
Reef
9L4#12
7L3#8
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
175Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.41.1
57.358.4
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End8.2
blue by 4.4
62.81.1
61.762.8
Auto14.1
Teleop40.2
End8.5
Second
3100
#10
43.01.1
42.043.0
Auto5.8
Teleop32.1
End5.2
blue by 0.2
43.31.1
42.243.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End7.7
Third
5903
#33
35.41.1
34.335.4
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End7.0
red by 2.0
6574
#13
33.41.1
32.333.4
Auto6.0
Teleop21.9
End5.5