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Red127
761926.4
214333.8
614743.3
Blue143
842235.2
657433.4
173254.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841000200300400500127143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
20Coral scored#13
71Coral points48
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#7
12Processor points24
12Net points28
24Algae points52
95Total teleop100
Reef
11L4#8
4L3#6
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points6
127Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.34.5
27.031.4
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End7.7
blue by 11.1
54.44.0
37.441.5
Auto12.2
Teleop35.7
End6.5
Second
2143
#11
33.84.5
24.528.9
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End2.4
blue by 1.4
35.24.0
21.025.0
Auto3.2
Teleop22.8
End9.2
Third
7619
#21
26.44.5
23.427.9
Auto3.9
Teleop18.5
End4.0
blue by 7.0
6574
#13
33.44.0
27.431.4
Auto6.0
Teleop21.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned