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Red69
329124.0
474130.5
842235.2
Blue93
284619.0
265421.6
130630.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94970501502002506993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+34
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +27
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
40Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points6
69Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.24.0
33.729.7
Auto3.2
Teleop22.8
End9.2
red by 4.9
1306
#19
30.21.2
27.426.2
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Second
4741
#16
30.54.0
27.523.5
Auto5.1
Teleop22.5
End2.9
red by 8.9
2654
#30
21.61.2
28.727.5
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Third
3291
#44
24.04.0
17.713.7
Auto2.9
Teleop18.0
End3.1
red by 5.0
2846
#25
19.01.2
23.722.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsMissed