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Red95
558619.3
282323.0
401117.3
Blue97
310043.0
329427.1
214333.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691100501001509597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
74Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
95Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#51
23.01.5
20.922.4
Auto3.7
Teleop18.3
End1.0
blue by 20.1
3100
#10
43.00.3
37.337.0
Auto5.8
Teleop32.1
End5.2
Second
5586
#53
19.31.5
22.924.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End2.2
blue by 14.4
2143
#11
33.80.3
29.228.9
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Third
4011
#49
17.31.5
19.521.0
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End2.9
blue by 9.8
3294
#24
27.10.3
22.822.5
Auto4.0
Teleop16.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed