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Red108
329336.8
779722.2
670928.9
Blue104
338116.5
657433.4
87652.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91112406080100120140160108104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
0Endgame0
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +15
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
74Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
4Foul points0
108Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3293
#12
36.82.0
34.336.3
Auto5.0
Teleop24.7
End7.2
blue by 15.4
876
#1
52.20.3
51.852.1
Auto8.8
Teleop36.7
End6.7
Second
6709
#23
28.92.0
26.928.9
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End0.8
blue by 4.5
6574
#13
33.40.3
30.330.6
Auto6.0
Teleop21.9
End5.5
Third
7797
#29
22.22.0
23.325.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.9
End3.6
red by 5.7
3381
#48
16.50.3
18.819.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned