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Red78
286140.2
703813.3
642120.7
Blue169
565343.5
173254.4
319747.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801665010015020025078169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+91
Endgame+89
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave9
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
21Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +79
8Coral scored#19
27Coral points68
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#7
6Processor points24
8Net points28
14Algae points52
41Total teleop120
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#9
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
0Foul points2
78Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2861
#14
40.20.2
39.039.3
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
blue by 14.2
54.42.9
49.852.7
Auto12.2
Teleop35.7
End6.5
Second
6421
#47
20.70.2
20.520.7
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.9
blue by 26.8
47.52.9
44.046.9
Auto7.2
Teleop38.0
End2.3
Third
7038
#54
13.30.2
13.113.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 30.2
5653
#17
43.52.9
40.443.3
Auto7.5
Teleop32.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned