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Red167
310043.0
590335.4
161958.4
Blue146
284762.8
657433.4
614743.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431366080100120160180200220167146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +1
22Coral scored#21
80Coral points77
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
112Total teleop111
Reef
10L4#10
6L3#7
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
167Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.41.1
56.657.6
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End8.2
blue by 4.4
62.80.4
60.260.6
Auto14.1
Teleop40.2
End8.5
Second
3100
#10
43.01.1
41.242.3
Auto5.8
Teleop32.1
End5.2
blue by 0.2
43.30.4
40.741.1
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End7.7
Third
5903
#33
35.41.1
33.634.6
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End7.0
red by 2.0
6574
#13
33.40.4
30.831.2
Auto6.0
Teleop21.9
End5.5