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Red149
284762.8
657433.4
614743.3
Blue145
702847.8
812229.2
173254.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141139100120160180200149145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points38
44Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +7
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
79Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#10
4L3#5
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
149Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.4
60.661.0
Auto14.1
Teleop40.2
End8.5
red by 8.4
54.40.3
54.154.4
Auto12.2
Teleop35.7
End6.5
Second
43.30.4
41.141.5
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End7.7
blue by 4.5
7028
#20
47.80.3
47.447.8
Auto12.5
Teleop27.5
End7.8
Third
6574
#13
33.40.4
31.231.6
Auto6.0
Teleop21.9
End5.5
red by 4.2
8122
#34
29.20.3
28.829.2
Auto5.1
Teleop18.1
End6.0