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Red79
753020.3
851625.7
504132.0
Blue97
825540.1
674929.9
842234.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86109501001502007997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+30
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +5
0Leave3
4Coral scored#4
18Coral points20
18Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +25
7Coral scored#12
25Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
35Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
79Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5041
#30
32.00.6
32.132.7
Auto6.7
Teleop20.5
End4.8
blue by 8.1
8255
#11
40.11.1
28.529.6
Auto5.8
Teleop29.8
End4.5
Second
8516
#25
25.70.6
20.320.9
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End5.3
blue by 8.4
8422
#10
34.21.1
34.535.6
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End9.3
Third
7530
#28
20.30.6
19.319.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.3
blue by 9.6
6749
#16
29.91.5
20.722.2
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned