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Red118
250326.7
253818.5
702856.7
Blue189
288349.5
818832.2
725756.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94108406080100120140160180118189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+83
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +62
13Coral scored#20
48Coral points72
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#9
12Processor points30
16Net points36
28Algae points66
76Total teleop138
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#9
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#40
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points0
118Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.71.5
47.549.0
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End9.1
red by 0.7
7257
#12
56.06.4
36.943.3
Auto12.3
Teleop37.7
End6.0
Second
2503
#35
26.72.1
22.024.1
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.3
blue by 22.8
49.56.4
40.747.1
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End4.9
Third
2538
#31
18.51.5
18.419.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End1.8
blue by 13.7
8188
#34
32.26.4
21.327.7
Auto6.2
Teleop24.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned