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Red86
374015.5
674929.9
253818.5
Blue63
888713.4
825540.1
534847.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions591120501001508663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+9Endgame
+23Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
47Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
14Foul points0
86Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6749
#16
29.91.1
23.424.5
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 17.9
47.82.4
42.740.3
Auto9.5
Teleop30.9
End7.4
Second
2538
#31
18.50.6
18.318.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End1.8
blue by 21.6
8255
#11
40.12.4
33.731.3
Auto5.8
Teleop29.8
End4.5
Third
3740
#44
15.51.1
12.713.8
Auto2.7
Teleop12.6
End0.2
red by 2.1
8887
#42
13.44.0
13.79.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned