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Red115
305840.1
837220.8
702856.7
Blue88
423928.6
565832.4
250326.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121892040608010014016018011588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+17Teleop
+33Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#12
57Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
71Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +16
24Cage & park8
24Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points6
115Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.5
51.852.3
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End9.1
red by 24.3
32.40.2
26.726.4
Auto6.5
Teleop21.2
End4.7
Second
40.10.5
35.335.8
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End7.8
red by 11.5
4239
#37
28.60.4
23.823.4
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Third
8372
#23
20.80.9
14.915.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.5
End4.5
blue by 5.9
2503
#35
26.70.4
28.828.5
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed