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Red118
302635.4
250326.7
504132.0
Blue69
887818.7
851625.7
624422.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7072405060809010011011869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
17Coral scored#9
61Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
81Total teleop46
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
118Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
#13
35.43.7
17.321.0
Auto6.5
Teleop23.6
End5.3
red by 9.6
8516
#25
25.70.4
20.820.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End5.3
Second
5041
#30
32.03.7
28.432.1
Auto6.7
Teleop20.5
End4.8
red by 9.2
6244
#47
22.85.6
22.817.3
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End1.8
Third
2503
#35
26.74.6
17.422.0
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.3
red by 8.0
8878
#26
18.70.4
20.620.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned