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Red175
327683.0
472870.0
674929.9
Blue147
604557.7
757834.5
534847.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203144100250175147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +37
26Coral scored#14
95Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#8
18Processor points12
20Net points32
38Algae points44
133Total teleop96
Reef
13L4#7
7L3#4
7L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points14
175Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.00.2
83.082.8
Auto12.2
Teleop59.0
End11.8
red by 25.4
6045
#20
57.70.2
57.957.6
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
Second
70.00.2
69.969.7
Auto11.2
Teleop50.4
End8.4
red by 22.2
47.80.2
48.047.7
Auto9.5
Teleop30.9
End7.4
Third
6749
#16
29.90.3
29.929.6
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 4.6
7578
#15
34.50.2
34.734.5
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End6.0