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Red184
379246.7
247243.7
388343.6
Blue202
249158.7
389143.4
857057.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15218750100200250300184202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +23
3Leave6
3Coral scored#7
15Coral points35
18Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +3
28Coral scored#23
100Coral points81
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#8
12Processor points24
28Net points32
40Algae points56
140Total teleop137
Reef
11L4#9
12L3#10
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +18
2Foul points0
184Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.6
46.146.7
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End7.1
blue by 12.0
58.70.6
58.158.7
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End6.7
Second
2472
#35
43.70.6
43.143.7
Auto4.2
Teleop36.1
End3.4
blue by 14.0
57.70.8
57.057.7
Auto10.2
Teleop38.9
End8.6
Third
3883
#11
43.60.6
42.943.6
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
red by 0.2
3891
#24
43.40.8
42.643.4
Auto10.6
Teleop30.8
End2.1