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Qual 602025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red125
251315.9
329750.8
363036.8
Blue43
527111.3
266732.6
759412.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11061020408010012014016012543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+62Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
13Coral scored#7
45Coral points26
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
18Processor points0
8Net points4
26Algae points4
71Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points0
125Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3297
#1
50.81.4
48.8→50.2
Auto11.4
Teleop31.3
End8.1
red by 18.2
2667
#21
32.62.5
32.6→30.1
Auto7.0
Teleop22.8
End2.8
Second
3630
#28
36.81.4
35.2→36.6
Auto10.1
Teleop21.5
End5.1
red by 24.4
7594
#37
12.31.6
11.3→9.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End-0.2
Third
2513
#41
15.91.4
11.9→13.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.8
red by 4.6
5271
#46
11.32.7
14.7→12.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed