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Red111
250228.6
388342.9
285513.3
Blue105
205247.9
249145.3
25312.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831070200300400500600700800111105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
19Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +12
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
72Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
111Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.5
42.142.6
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End4.9
blue by 5.0
47.90.2
47.747.9
Auto12.3
Teleop29.9
End5.7
Second
28.60.5
27.828.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.6
blue by 16.7
45.30.2
45.045.3
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End7.3
Third
2855
#14
13.30.5
12.413.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 10.8
2531
#10
2.50.2
2.22.5
Auto1.4
Teleop0.7
End0.4