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Red234
477838.1
212959.1
327685.7
Blue202
205263.7
310044.7
308254.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19216950100150250234202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+22Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points28
51Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +5
30Coral scored#34
107Coral points122
6Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
36Processor points24
24Net points16
60Algae points40
167Total teleop162
Reef
10L4#17
8L3#10
12L2#8
10L1 · trough#5
52Game pieces#48
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
234Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.71.2
84.585.7
Auto7.4
Teleop67.3
End11.1
red by 22.0
63.70.9
62.863.7
Auto11.5
Teleop43.3
End8.9
Second
2129
#11
59.11.2
57.959.1
Auto17.4
Teleop40.4
End1.4
red by 5.0
54.10.9
53.154.1
Auto15.2
Teleop37.4
End1.5
Third
4778
#12
38.11.2
36.938.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.4
End1.1
blue by 6.6
3100
#28
44.70.9
43.844.7
Auto3.1
Teleop37.4
End4.3