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Red105
247033.7
327685.7
253114.8
Blue113
419832.7
212959.1
247230.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18716650100150250300350105113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +5
17Coral scored#19
60Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
88Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
105Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.73.6
85.581.9
Auto7.4
Teleop67.3
End11.1
red by 26.6
2129
#11
59.12.9
71.368.4
Auto17.4
Teleop40.4
End1.4
Second
2470
#15
33.73.6
46.342.7
Auto7.8
Teleop21.3
End4.7
red by 1.0
4198
#10
32.72.9
37.234.3
Auto4.5
Teleop20.3
End7.9
Third
2531
#29
14.83.6
24.120.5
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.5
blue by 15.7
2472
#19
30.52.9
45.442.5
Auto4.5
Teleop24.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
72%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned