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Red78
308254.1
527510.7
310044.7
Blue79
284611.8
205263.7
477838.1
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150156501002002507879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
56Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points0
78Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.13.9
57.653.7
Auto15.2
Teleop37.4
End1.5
blue by 9.6
63.73.8
72.168.3
Auto11.5
Teleop43.3
End8.9
Second
3100
#28
44.73.9
54.750.8
Auto3.1
Teleop37.4
End4.3
red by 6.6
4778
#12
38.15.1
40.034.8
Auto9.6
Teleop27.4
End1.1
Third
5275
#25
10.75.2
22.116.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End1.0
blue by 1.1
2846
#24
11.83.8
24.420.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed