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Red200
565348.5
614773.9
212971.3
Blue234
388349.9
288366.0
327688.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213200100150250300200234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
30Coral scored#31
107Coral points112
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#8
12Processor points24
28Net points32
40Algae points56
147Total teleop168
Reef
17L4#9
8L3#8
8L2#11
3L1 · trough#8
45Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
200Total score234

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6147
#19
73.90.5
71.871.3
Auto18.9
Teleop45.3
End9.6
blue by 14.6
88.42.7
81.784.5
Auto11.2
Teleop65.5
End11.8
Second
2129
#24
71.30.5
71.671.1
Auto18.5
Teleop50.9
End1.9
red by 5.3
66.02.7
51.854.5
Auto12.8
Teleop45.9
End7.3
Third
5653
#28
48.50.5
49.749.2
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End3.9
blue by 1.4
49.92.7
45.748.4
Auto9.6
Teleop33.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned