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Red195
417455.9
319770.1
310051.4
Blue140
614760.5
727313.5
212964.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17914050100200250300195140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+27Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points21
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
25Coral scored#22
89Coral points78
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
123Total teleop106
Reef
14L4#12
7L3#6
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#32
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
195Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.11.3
66.968.2
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End6.7
red by 5.8
2129
#20
64.30.2
56.256.0
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End1.1
Second
55.91.3
45.646.9
Auto13.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
blue by 4.7
60.50.2
59.659.4
Auto18.3
Teleop35.5
End6.7
Third
51.41.3
46.247.4
Auto6.4
Teleop36.2
End8.8
red by 37.9
7273
#44
13.50.4
16.115.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed