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Red83
15932.6
250838.3
527113.9
Blue64
915715.3
248037.0
387123.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9467501508364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points15
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +11
10Coral scored#5
37Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
41Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
12Foul points0
83Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2508
#10
38.31.0
37.036.0
Auto12.7
Teleop22.2
End3.4
red by 1.3
2480
#18
37.00.2
32.932.7
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End6.8
Second
159
#15
32.61.0
35.434.4
Auto4.6
Teleop18.8
End9.1
red by 9.6
3871
#35
23.00.2
19.819.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End3.9
Third
5271
#36
13.91.0
13.812.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 1.4
9157
#45
15.30.2
13.213.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned