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Red137
223927.1
313051.6
727313.5
Blue191
217537.4
205268.1
417455.9
2%Model gave it98%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9317650150200250300137191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+50
Endgame+60
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave9
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points28
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +32
16Coral scored#26
56Coral points92
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
12Processor points12
28Net points24
40Algae points36
96Total teleop128
Reef
6L4#14
7L3#7
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
6Foul points0
137Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.62.1
47.149.2
Auto6.1
Teleop34.9
End10.6
blue by 16.6
68.12.1
62.965.0
Auto12.0
Teleop44.8
End11.3
Second
2239
#29
27.12.1
27.129.2
Auto3.3
Teleop20.0
End3.7
blue by 28.7
55.92.1
48.350.4
Auto13.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
Third
7273
#44
13.53.0
14.417.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End0.6
blue by 23.9
2175
#38
37.43.0
37.140.1
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned