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Red75
361013.7
260615.8
320647.1
Blue103
469329.5
310051.4
523222.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211705010015020075103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#14
31Coral points51
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
39Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
2Foul points0
75Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#16
47.10.4
43.643.3
Auto9.5
Teleop32.5
End5.1
blue by 4.3
51.40.1
48.248.3
Auto6.4
Teleop36.2
End8.8
Second
2606
#46
15.80.5
16.315.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End0.7
blue by 13.7
4693
#37
29.50.1
24.925.0
Auto4.6
Teleop21.6
End3.3
Third
3610
#47
13.70.5
12.512.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End2.7
blue by 9.0
5232
#33
22.70.1
23.423.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned