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Red193
313051.6
591360.4
320647.1
Blue177
247047.8
310051.4
181640.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162152120140180200220193177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points15
19Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +17
26Coral scored#16
92Coral points57
3Processor algae#4
7Net algae#10
18Processor points24
28Net points40
46Algae points64
138Total teleop121
Reef
8L4#10
7L3#4
8L2#2
6L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points12
193Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#13
60.41.0
56.657.6
Auto11.5
Teleop40.1
End8.8
red by 9.0
51.40.7
49.950.5
Auto6.4
Teleop36.2
End8.8
Second
51.61.0
47.848.8
Auto6.1
Teleop34.9
End10.6
red by 3.8
47.80.7
46.347.0
Auto6.2
Teleop36.5
End5.1
Third
3206
#16
47.11.0
43.344.3
Auto9.5
Teleop32.5
End5.1
red by 6.5
1816
#23
40.50.7
39.039.7
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End8.8